Poker Tips

Read more about the
Las Vegas 2024 Super
Bowl Streaker!

Chasing a flush on-line – Occasionally the numbers just do not add up!

There’s an age old debate in poker – ought to you chase a flush? Initial of all we should define what we imply here by "chasing a flush online."

Chasing anything in Texas holdem poker will be the practice of gambling to stay in a palm in the hope that you just will make a better hand, even even though you may well have absolutely nothing in the time. So chasing a flush suggests betting that you simply will acquire the card or card that you need to complete your flush hand on the turn or river. You cannot chase a flush prior to the flop because at that time you only have two cards so the flush isn’t on.

So let us say you are playing one of the huge poker internet sites on the net, you’ve been dealt the Ace and nine of spades and you have paid to see the flop.

The flop is 2s 7s King of diamonds and one of your opponents comes out wagering strongly with a fair sized raise, what do you do?

Initially of all ask your self what type of hand you’re up against. The possibilities are triples, another flush draw, a pair of Kings or a complete bluff, so as it stands you are only succeeding in opposition to the bluff with your Ace. Around the other hands in the event you hit a spade in the last two cards you may have the nut flush and could only lose to a full house or four of a kind.

On the face of it you may well assume that statistically you’ve about a 50-50 possibility of hitting your spade, after all there is two cards to come and four suits so there must be about a half possibility, appropriate?

Wrong!

You already have 2 of the spades in your hands and there is a different 2 showing within the table, so you know 5 cards and 4 of them are spades. That suggests you might have 9 spades left obtainable out of the forty seven cards you have not seen, which is only a 42 per cent possibility of catching your flush.

In case you do bet about the turn and don’t generate your flush, what do you do then? You may have possibly now turn out to be pot-committed, you’ve got put so significantly into the pot that you may possibly as well wager again within the river unless there is a huge increase or all-in against you, but now your odds of generating the flush have dropped dramatically to only 21 %.

Except what of that other factor, the mysterious net poker syndrome? What I imply by that is despite the fact that you statistically have a 42 per cent chance of producing a flush, is that what actually happens in reality? Should you bet the exact same hand at the same web based poker table 100 instances would you have a flush 42 instances? From my personal experience I doubt it. Flushes seem to come around a great deal much less typically than forty two out of 100 occasions!

That is just my own opinion and I am certain the poker sites would tell you a distinct story, but the way I see it’s forty two per cent could be the really Very best you are ever going to acquire and you may well have a great deal much less possibility than that of hitting your flush.

Bottom line? Chasing a flush on the net is a incredibly risky strategy that sucks you in and over commits you, with out giving you enough of a likelihood of pulling out the succeeding hand.